{ "version": "public-alert-illustrations-1.0", "checked_at": "2026-10-03", "scope": "Selected public observations, not a representative benchmark or proof of customer delivery. Source time for a listing can be local observation time, not exchange publication time.", "observations": [ { "id": 17834, "kind": "macd", "symbol": "ETHUSDT", "source": "binance", "source_time": 1791027899.999, "created": 1791027941.1987948, "detail": "🔎 Short-term move; higher-timeframe opposition\n\nMACD(12,26,9) − Signal: 0.042743 · Bullish trend observation\n\n📊 Key data\n• BINANCE · 15m\n• MACD / Signal: 1.4041 / 1.3614\n• Price: 2,685.41 USDT\n• 15m Price: +0.06%\n• Quote volume: 0.73×\n• Trend strength: ADX(14) 19.1 · Weak · +DI 26.3 / −DI 14\n• Volatility: ATR(14) 0.11% · P0 · Low\n• UTC-day VWAP: Above +0.23% · 2,679.25 USDT\n• 1h: Bearish trend observation · MACD Bullish trend observation · RSI 46.7 · ADX 13.8 · ATR 0.45%\n• 4h: Bearish trend observation · MACD Bearish trend observation · RSI 47.6 · ADX 20.6 · ATR 1.28%\n• Evidence: Required data available\n• Coinbase USD spot · Premium proxy vs Binance USDT: -0.028%\n• 15m aggressive-buy share: 60.35% · 15m aggressive-flow difference: +86.9K USD\n\n💡 Why it matters\nA MACD crossover means short-term momentum changed; choppy markets can create false crosses, so use price, volume and higher timeframes.\nThe 15m signal runs against the higher-timeframe trend; treat it as countertrend.\nUSD and USDT are different quote currencies; this is cross-venue context, not measured capital inflow.\n\n🔭 Next observation\nNo auditable price level: wait for price and participation to agree.\n\n🕒 Event time: 2026-10-03 11:44 UTC\n⚠️ Observation, not a trade instruction or return guarantee.", "facts": { "schema_version": 2, "policy_version": 1, "bias": "bullish", "quality": "confirmed", "time_window": { "start": 1791027000.0, "end": 1791027899.999 }, "effective_threshold": 0.0, "threshold_method": "fixed", "price": 2685.41, "confirmation": "closed candle", "timeframe": "15m", "observation": "trend_crossover", "evidence_group": "trend_momentum", "fast_value": 1.4041149326299092, "slow_value": 1.3613717774277565, "spread_pct": 0.001591680793701992, "quote_volume": 1838251.58251, "volume_ratio": 0.7349966716160814, "price_change_candle_pct": 0.0603623979521517, "adx": 19.077662562039375, "adx_change": 0.8839356328724897, "plus_di": 26.329170650988427, "minus_di": 14.000778694592027, "dmi_bias": "bullish", "trend_strength": "weak", "atr": 3.0372375875808864, "atr_pct": 0.11310144773352623, "atr_percentile": 0.0, "volatility_regime": "low", "vwap": 2679.2477548438674, "vwap_distance_pct": 0.22999907884559967, "vwap_position": "above", "dmi_alignment": "supportive", "vwap_alignment": "supportive", "coinbase_product": "ETH-USD", "coinbase_price_usd": 2684.67, "coinbase_premium_proxy_pct": -0.02755631356105015, "coinbase_buy_15m_usd": 253362.56684567741, "coinbase_sell_15m_usd": 166463.9306683767, "coinbase_total_15m_usd": 419826.4975140541, "coinbase_buy_share_pct": 60.349351064291945, "coinbase_net_active_usd": 86898.63617730071, "coinbase_trade_count": 588, "coinbase_price_change_15m_pct": 0.04993795023349179, "coinbase_window_start": 1791026999.999, "coinbase_window_end": 1791027899.999, "coinbase_observed_at": 1791027896.415091, "coinbase_context_only": true, "higher_timeframes": { "1h": { "trend_bias": "bearish", "momentum_bias": "bullish", "rsi": 46.688772161310155, "rsi_state": "normal", "band_position": "inside", "price": 2683.46, "adx": 13.786048018497889, "plus_di": 19.553474441962916, "minus_di": 18.834839672520094, "dmi_bias": "neutral", "trend_strength": "weak", "atr_pct": 0.4465765167934418, "atr_percentile": 0.0, "volatility_regime": "low", "vwap": 2679.0439497449634, "vwap_distance_pct": 0.16483679767391735, "vwap_position": "above", "closed": 1791025199.999 }, "4h": { "trend_bias": "bearish", "momentum_bias": "bearish", "rsi": 47.562609240572776, "rsi_state": "normal", "band_position": "inside", "price": 2681.51, "adx": 20.564043693363235, "plus_di": 23.184841071519614, "minus_di": 19.209722194411626, "dmi_bias": "bullish", "trend_strength": "developing", "atr_pct": 1.2790702640913394, "atr_percentile": 17.708333333333336, "volatility_regime": "low", "vwap": 2677.7332525168486, "vwap_distance_pct": 0.14104270765589177, "vwap_position": "above", "closed": 1791014399.999 } }, "multi_timeframe_alignment": "countertrend" }, "event_time_utc": "2026-10-03T11:44:59.999+00:00", "provenance": "recorded_public_observation", "customer_delivery_verified": false, "label": "ETHUSDT" }, { "id": 17828, "kind": "volume", "symbol": "AVAXUSDT", "source": "binance", "source_time": 1791027599.999, "created": 1791027616.1379733, "detail": "🔎 Bullish trend observation\n\nTrading activity in AVAXUSDT reached 15.59× its recent baseline.\n\n📊 Key data\n• BINANCE · 5m\n• Quote volume: 15.59×\n• 5m Quote volume: 1.81M USDT\n• 5m Price: +0.52%\n\n💡 Why it matters\nUnusual volume shows participation increased, but volume alone does not determine the next direction.\n\n🎯 Trigger threshold: ≥5.6×\n\n🔭 Next observation\nNo auditable price level: wait for price and participation to agree.\n\n🕒 Event time: 2026-10-03 11:39 UTC\n⚠️ Observation, not a trade instruction or return guarantee.", "facts": { "schema_version": 2, "policy_version": 1, "bias": "bullish", "quality": "confirmed", "time_window": { "start": 1791027300.0, "end": 1791027599.999 }, "effective_threshold": 5.618574879613794, "threshold_method": "trailing_p99_floor_3x", "price": 11.181, "confirmation": "closed candle", "timeframe": "5m", "calibration_samples": 579, "calibration_min_samples": 288, "calibration_p99": 5.618574879613794, "observation": "unusual_volume", "baseline_quote_volume": 116010.07869200001, "quote_volume": 1809074.07011, "volume_ratio": 15.594111222982496, "price_change_candle_pct": 0.5214420569989997 }, "event_time_utc": "2026-10-03T11:39:59.999+00:00", "provenance": "recorded_public_observation", "customer_delivery_verified": false, "label": "AVAXUSDT" }, { "id": 17688, "kind": "listing", "symbol": "mexc_listings:17827791538977", "source": "mexc_listings", "source_time": 1791006437.123696, "created": 1791006437.1369045, "detail": "We're thrilled to announce the addition of HOOKED to our Meme+ Trading Zone! HOOKED Listing DetailsTokenNetworkContract AddressListing TimeWithdrawal TimeHOOKEDSOLC1mBfBoDkwWfd6uTFZp62ARHLjeVp", "facts": { "policy_version": 1, "title": "First in Market: HOOKED Now Live on MEXC Meme+", "detail": "We're thrilled to announce the addition of HOOKED to our Meme+ Trading Zone! HOOKED Listing DetailsTokenNetworkContract AddressListing TimeWithdrawal TimeHOOKEDSOLC1mBfBoDkwWfd6uTFZp62ARHLjeVp", "url": "https://www.mexc.com/announcements/article/first-in-market-17827791538977", "exchange": "MEXC", "listing_symbol": "HOOKED", "market_type": "meme+", "trading_at": 1790993400.0, "status": "scheduled" }, "event_time_utc": "2026-10-03T05:47:17.123+00:00", "provenance": "recorded_public_observation", "customer_delivery_verified": false, "label": "HOOKED" } ] }