{"selection":"held,faded,never; six distinct symbols each; distance to within-type median excess30 then ID; global symbol deduplication","observation":{"id":"STGUSDT-1701648000","symbol":"STGUSDT","signal_time":1701648000,"event_time":1701734400,"phase":"2020–2023","prior_relative30":-0.003936405778842356,"prior_strength":false,"above_sma20":true,"rsi":53.90591281829952,"lag_pp":0.06920284772213048,"type":"faded","recovered":false,"first_recovery_day":1703462400,"first_recovery_known_at":1703548800,"days_to_first_recovery":21,"followup":{"3":{"complete":true,"failed":false},"7":{"complete":true,"failed":true}},"scan":[{"time":1701648000,"known_at":1701734400,"sma20":0.551635,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":53.90591281829952,"volume_ratio20":2.429022462521387,"relative_momentum3":-0.11036320794832188,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1701734400,"known_at":1701820800,"sma20":0.551805,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":68.39938239835307,"volume_ratio20":1.5999765470552276,"relative_momentum3":-0.1260417694533511,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1701820800,"known_at":1701907200,"sma20":0.552345,"above_sma20":false,"cutler_rsi14":54.959785522788195,"volume_ratio20":1.2640694959222267,"relative_momentum3":-0.1354943505302153,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1701907200,"known_at":1701993600,"sma20":0.554875,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":65.03496503496503,"volume_ratio20":3.470891026127684,"relative_momentum3":0.008749653289578996,"combined_confirmation":true,"breakout20":true,"relative_trend":true,"breakout_volume":true},{"time":1701993600,"known_at":1702080000,"sma20":0.556845,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":54.28434657730973,"volume_ratio20":2.320757654609357,"relative_momentum3":-0.012807474703359634,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1702080000,"known_at":1702166400,"sma20":0.55667,"above_sma20":false,"cutler_rsi14":48.854961832061065,"volume_ratio20":1.357989237114627,"relative_momentum3":0.009831564068834009,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1702166400,"known_at":1702252800,"sma20":0.55728,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":52.85927399303828,"volume_ratio20":0.5674028006197499,"relative_momentum3":-0.05928917876169826,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false}],"policies":{"immediate":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1701648000,"entry_time":1701734400,"exit_time":1704326400,"entry_price":0.5664,"exit_price":0.5647,"net":-0.006981446711097572,"wait_days":0,"entry_move_from_initial":0.0,"mae_net":-0.16366278741951124,"mfe_net":0.2370967810142428},"relative_trend":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1701907200,"entry_time":1701993600,"exit_time":1704326400,"entry_price":0.5889,"exit_price":0.5647,"net":-0.04492153407567612,"wait_days":3,"entry_move_from_initial":0.03972457627118642,"mae_net":-0.19561657801733934,"mfe_net":0.18983123920269507},"breakout_volume":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1701907200,"entry_time":1701993600,"exit_time":1704326400,"entry_price":0.5889,"exit_price":0.5647,"net":-0.04492153407567612,"wait_days":3,"entry_move_from_initial":0.03972457627118642,"mae_net":-0.19561657801733934,"mfe_net":0.18983123920269507},"btc":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1701648000,"entry_time":1701734400,"exit_time":1704326400,"entry_price":41991.1,"exit_price":42845.23,"net":0.01626752234841744,"wait_days":0,"entry_move_from_initial":0.0,"mae_net":-0.045954187107921984,"mfe_net":0.0882419794773448}},"excess30":-0.023248969059515234,"original_observation":{"id":"STGUSDT-1701648000","symbol":"STGUSDT","btc_event":"btc-1701648000","signal_time":1701648000,"event_time":1701734400,"btc_return7":0.12749881184769096,"cohort":"mature90","status":"complete","current_status":"TRADING","fee_per_side":0.002,"alt_return7":0.058295964125560484,"lag_pp":0.06920284772213048,"lagger":true,"median_quote30":9030290.779755,"sma20":0.551635,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":53.90591281829952,"volume_ratio20":2.429022462521387,"relative_momentum3":-0.11036320794832188,"combined_confirmation":false,"outcomes":{"7":{"entry_time":1701734400,"exit_time":1702339200,"alt_entry":0.5664,"btc_entry":41991.1,"alt_exit":0.5312,"btc_exit":41253.41,"alt_net":-0.06589081723558543,"btc_net":-0.021489655461683133,"excess_net":-0.0444011617739023,"reference_ratio":1.4370601487002823e-05,"exit_ratio":1.2876511299308348e-05,"relative_gap_remaining":-0.10396852136257295,"positive":false,"outperformed":false,"recovered":false,"positive_and_recovered":false,"touched_recovery":false,"first_recovery_close_day":null},"14":{"entry_time":1701734400,"exit_time":1702944000,"alt_entry":0.5664,"btc_entry":41991.1,"alt_exit":0.5017,"btc_exit":42657.8,"alt_net":-0.11776623307058198,"btc_net":0.011821776072489909,"excess_net":-0.1295880091430719,"reference_ratio":1.4370601487002823e-05,"exit_ratio":1.1761037840676266e-05,"relative_gap_remaining":-0.18159042602960773,"positive":false,"outperformed":false,"recovered":false,"positive_and_recovered":false,"touched_recovery":false,"first_recovery_close_day":null},"30":{"entry_time":1701734400,"exit_time":1704326400,"alt_entry":0.5664,"btc_entry":41991.1,"alt_exit":0.5647,"btc_exit":42845.23,"alt_net":-0.006981446711097572,"btc_net":0.016267522348417662,"excess_net":-0.023248969059515234,"reference_ratio":1.4370601487002823e-05,"exit_ratio":1.3179996933147516e-05,"relative_gap_remaining":-0.08285001535475911,"positive":false,"outperformed":false,"recovered":false,"positive_and_recovered":false,"touched_recovery":true,"first_recovery_close_day":1703462400}}}},"points":[{"time":1701043200,"utc":"2023-11-27T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5352,"btc_price":37242.7,"alt_index":100.0,"btc_index":100.0,"ratio_index":100.0,"volume_ratio":0.49125174724139703},{"time":1701129600,"utc":"2023-11-28T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5574,"btc_price":37818.87,"alt_index":104.14798206278026,"btc_index":101.5470682845229,"ratio_index":102.56128889016267,"volume_ratio":0.5877485573606122},{"time":1701216000,"utc":"2023-11-29T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5531,"btc_price":37854.64,"alt_index":103.34454409566519,"btc_index":101.64311395253299,"ratio_index":101.67392563742857,"volume_ratio":0.5848573720133746},{"time":1701302400,"utc":"2023-11-30T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.554,"btc_price":37723.96,"alt_index":103.51270553064276,"btc_index":101.29222639604541,"ratio_index":102.1921515733255,"volume_ratio":0.5282188447559201},{"time":1701388800,"utc":"2023-12-01T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5865,"btc_price":38682.52,"alt_index":109.58520179372198,"btc_index":103.86604623187901,"ratio_index":105.50628022277373,"volume_ratio":1.1101869907728412},{"time":1701475200,"utc":"2023-12-02T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5883,"btc_price":39450.35,"alt_index":109.92152466367713,"btc_index":105.92773885889046,"ratio_index":103.77029269935318,"volume_ratio":0.6575909577221157},{"time":1701561600,"utc":"2023-12-03T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.583,"btc_price":39972.26,"alt_index":108.93124065769805,"btc_index":107.32911416197001,"ratio_index":101.4927231145412,"volume_ratio":1.04225871310352},{"time":1701648000,"utc":"2023-12-04T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5664,"btc_price":41991.1,"alt_index":105.82959641255604,"btc_index":112.7498811847691,"ratio_index":93.86226867869385,"volume_ratio":2.429022462521387},{"time":1701734400,"utc":"2023-12-05T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5744,"btc_price":44073.32,"alt_index":107.32436472346787,"btc_index":118.34082920948268,"ratio_index":90.69090139083455,"volume_ratio":1.5999765470552276},{"time":1701820800,"utc":"2023-12-06T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5518,"btc_price":43762.69,"alt_index":103.10164424514198,"btc_index":117.50675971398424,"ratio_index":87.74103251259346,"volume_ratio":1.2640694959222267},{"time":1701907200,"utc":"2023-12-07T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5888,"btc_price":43273.14,"alt_index":110.01494768310911,"btc_index":116.19227392213777,"ratio_index":94.68353098660572,"volume_ratio":3.470891026127684},{"time":1701993600,"utc":"2023-12-08T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5683,"btc_price":44170.99,"alt_index":106.18460388639761,"btc_index":118.60308194626062,"ratio_index":89.52937996544655,"volume_ratio":2.320757654609357},{"time":1702080000,"utc":"2023-12-09T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5566,"btc_price":43713.6,"alt_index":103.99850523168908,"btc_index":117.37494864765445,"ratio_index":88.60366409520668,"volume_ratio":1.357989237114627},{"time":1702166400,"utc":"2023-12-10T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5605,"btc_price":43789.51,"alt_index":104.72720478325859,"btc_index":117.57877382681707,"ratio_index":89.06982219215206,"volume_ratio":0.5674028006197499},{"time":1702252800,"utc":"2023-12-11T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5311,"btc_price":41253.4,"alt_index":99.2339312406577,"btc_index":110.76909031837113,"ratio_index":89.58630151736445,"volume_ratio":1.60570354698101},{"time":1702339200,"utc":"2023-12-12T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5229,"btc_price":41492.39,"alt_index":97.70179372197309,"btc_index":111.41079996885297,"ratio_index":87.69508319596262,"volume_ratio":0.9261921986001991},{"time":1702425600,"utc":"2023-12-13T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5247,"btc_price":42869.03,"alt_index":98.03811659192826,"btc_index":115.10720221681028,"ratio_index":85.17114021003522,"volume_ratio":1.0191135142597871},{"time":1702512000,"utc":"2023-12-14T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5433,"btc_price":43022.26,"alt_index":101.51345291479821,"btc_index":115.5186385519847,"ratio_index":87.87625459169172,"volume_ratio":1.5197464956845355},{"time":1702598400,"utc":"2023-12-15T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5132,"btc_price":41940.3,"alt_index":95.88938714499253,"btc_index":112.61347861460101,"ratio_index":85.14912097969763,"volume_ratio":0.6979297948611521},{"time":1702684800,"utc":"2023-12-16T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5272,"btc_price":42278.03,"alt_index":98.50523168908819,"btc_index":113.5203140481222,"ratio_index":86.77321985502175,"volume_ratio":0.5604589702980552},{"time":1702771200,"utc":"2023-12-17T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5067,"btc_price":41374.65,"alt_index":94.67488789237669,"btc_index":111.09465747649875,"ratio_index":85.2200187145853,"volume_ratio":0.575947839893815},{"time":1702857600,"utc":"2023-12-18T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5018,"btc_price":42657.8,"alt_index":93.7593423019432,"btc_index":114.54003066372739,"ratio_index":81.85727012524275,"volume_ratio":0.9487640900899036},{"time":1702944000,"utc":"2023-12-19T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5064,"btc_price":42275.99,"alt_index":94.61883408071749,"btc_index":113.51483646459575,"ratio_index":83.35371571471035,"volume_ratio":0.7404453881528555},{"time":1703030400,"utc":"2023-12-20T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5221,"btc_price":43668.93,"alt_index":97.55231689088191,"btc_index":117.25500567896528,"ratio_index":83.19671840532955,"volume_ratio":0.8001934560918298},{"time":1703116800,"utc":"2023-12-21T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5283,"btc_price":43861.8,"alt_index":98.71076233183857,"btc_index":117.77287898031025,"ratio_index":83.81451076554004,"volume_ratio":0.5768617640416438},{"time":1703203200,"utc":"2023-12-22T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5654,"btc_price":43969.04,"alt_index":105.64275037369208,"btc_index":118.06082802804309,"ratio_index":89.48162751204715,"volume_ratio":1.2213019045518623},{"time":1703289600,"utc":"2023-12-23T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5771,"btc_price":43702.16,"alt_index":107.82884902840057,"btc_index":117.344231218467,"ratio_index":91.89105242647076,"volume_ratio":1.2029780777564254},{"time":1703376000,"utc":"2023-12-24T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.5827,"btc_price":42991.5,"alt_index":108.87518684603886,"btc_index":115.43604518469392,"ratio_index":94.31645607040859,"volume_ratio":1.6608910290067418},{"time":1703462400,"utc":"2023-12-25T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6414,"btc_price":43576.13,"alt_index":119.84304932735425,"btc_index":117.00582933031171,"ratio_index":102.42485354215385,"volume_ratio":1.2812044646267886},{"time":1703548800,"utc":"2023-12-26T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6616,"btc_price":42508.93,"alt_index":123.61733931240657,"btc_index":114.14030132079576,"ratio_index":108.30297264151704,"volume_ratio":2.1558611003740595},{"time":1703635200,"utc":"2023-12-27T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6733,"btc_price":43428.85,"alt_index":125.8034379671151,"btc_index":116.61036928042274,"ratio_index":107.88357737259626,"volume_ratio":1.6425855395685673},{"time":1703721600,"utc":"2023-12-28T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6434,"btc_price":42563.76,"alt_index":120.2167414050822,"btc_index":114.28752480351856,"ratio_index":105.18798233819227,"volume_ratio":1.1005820054644289},{"time":1703808000,"utc":"2023-12-29T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6259,"btc_price":42066.95,"alt_index":116.94693572496264,"btc_index":112.9535452585339,"ratio_index":103.53542729206815,"volume_ratio":0.9542949950967249},{"time":1703894400,"utc":"2023-12-30T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6249,"btc_price":42140.28,"alt_index":116.76008968609865,"btc_index":113.15044290558956,"ratio_index":103.19013049159773,"volume_ratio":0.911586757603955},{"time":1703980800,"utc":"2023-12-31T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6099,"btc_price":42283.58,"alt_index":113.957399103139,"btc_index":113.53521629742205,"ratio_index":100.37185185309463,"volume_ratio":0.5801792791102693},{"time":1704067200,"utc":"2024-01-01T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6197,"btc_price":44179.55,"alt_index":115.78849028400597,"btc_index":118.62606631635195,"ratio_index":97.60796583713844,"volume_ratio":0.6616832090048651},{"time":1704153600,"utc":"2024-01-02T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.6213,"btc_price":44946.91,"alt_index":116.08744394618833,"btc_index":120.68649695108036,"ratio_index":96.18925636166551,"volume_ratio":1.081028858294098},{"time":1704240000,"utc":"2024-01-03T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":0.565,"btc_price":42845.23,"alt_index":105.56801195814647,"btc_index":115.04329707566853,"ratio_index":91.76372256500109,"volume_ratio":2.1630277114107126},{"time":1704326400,"utc":"2024-01-04T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"open","alt_price":0.5647,"btc_price":42845.23,"alt_index":105.51195814648729,"btc_index":115.04329707566853,"ratio_index":91.71499846452409,"volume_ratio":null}]}