{"selection":"held,faded,never; six distinct symbols each; distance to within-type median excess30 then ID; global symbol deduplication","observation":{"id":"ETCUSDT-1731628800","symbol":"ETCUSDT","signal_time":1731628800,"event_time":1731715200,"phase":"2024–cutoff","prior_relative30":-0.10556485959341355,"prior_strength":false,"above_sma20":true,"rsi":69.88586479367866,"lag_pp":0.06560421138253325,"type":"held","recovered":true,"first_recovery_day":1731715200,"first_recovery_known_at":1731801600,"days_to_first_recovery":1,"followup":{"3":{"complete":true,"failed":false},"7":{"complete":true,"failed":false}},"scan":[{"time":1731628800,"known_at":1731715200,"sma20":20.214,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":69.88586479367866,"volume_ratio20":4.197345984484043,"relative_momentum3":-0.023642378117736285,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1731715200,"known_at":1731801600,"sma20":20.63,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":79.10750507099392,"volume_ratio20":13.314680230154577,"relative_momentum3":0.20722166455686342,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":true,"relative_trend":true,"breakout_volume":true},{"time":1731801600,"known_at":1731888000,"sma20":20.972,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":76.17187500000001,"volume_ratio20":9.503661214945366,"relative_momentum3":0.1519417289494469,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":true,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1731888000,"known_at":1731974400,"sma20":21.3525,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":78.85085574572126,"volume_ratio20":3.0615220977227438,"relative_momentum3":0.18354823878863047,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":true,"relative_trend":true,"breakout_volume":true},{"time":1731974400,"known_at":1732060800,"sma20":21.688,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":73.88688327316486,"volume_ratio20":1.3673811920528964,"relative_momentum3":-0.039600761833233245,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1732060800,"known_at":1732147200,"sma20":22.0265,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":67.81681304893351,"volume_ratio20":1.5355739878050005,"relative_momentum3":-0.06432462407250583,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":false,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false},{"time":1732147200,"known_at":1732233600,"sma20":22.4705,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":70.39815349105598,"volume_ratio20":2.7747462546056663,"relative_momentum3":-0.0696661016247504,"combined_confirmation":false,"breakout20":true,"relative_trend":false,"breakout_volume":false}],"policies":{"immediate":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1731628800,"entry_time":1731715200,"exit_time":1734307200,"entry_price":22.98,"exit_price":33.79,"net":0.4645391549364284,"wait_days":0,"entry_move_from_initial":0.0,"mae_net":-0.010926797406058175,"mfe_net":0.7323950879789594},"relative_trend":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1731715200,"entry_time":1731801600,"exit_time":1734307200,"entry_price":26.73,"exit_price":33.79,"net":0.25907631052896063,"wait_days":1,"entry_move_from_initial":0.1631853785900783,"mae_net":-0.0826144194962114,"mfe_net":0.48935425072040717},"breakout_volume":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1731715200,"entry_time":1731801600,"exit_time":1734307200,"entry_price":26.73,"exit_price":33.79,"net":0.25907631052896063,"wait_days":1,"entry_move_from_initial":0.1631853785900783,"mae_net":-0.0826144194962114,"mfe_net":0.48935425072040717},"btc":{"status":"entered","signal_time":1731628800,"entry_time":1731715200,"exit_time":1734307200,"entry_price":91032.08,"exit_price":104463.99,"net":0.1429703471988375,"wait_days":0,"entry_move_from_initial":0.0,"mae_net":-0.029267260955902263,"mfe_net":0.1515703070759371}},"excess30":0.32156880773759067,"original_observation":{"id":"ETCUSDT-1731628800","symbol":"ETCUSDT","btc_event":"btc-1731628800","signal_time":1731628800,"event_time":1731715200,"btc_return7":0.18980959035563827,"cohort":"mature90","status":"complete","current_status":"TRADING","fee_per_side":0.002,"alt_return7":0.12420537897310502,"lag_pp":0.06560421138253325,"lagger":true,"median_quote30":8161241.1968,"sma20":20.214,"above_sma20":true,"cutler_rsi14":69.88586479367866,"volume_ratio20":4.197345984484043,"relative_momentum3":-0.023642378117736285,"combined_confirmation":false,"outcomes":{"7":{"entry_time":1731715200,"exit_time":1732320000,"alt_entry":22.98,"btc_entry":91032.08,"alt_exit":28.51,"btc_exit":98892.0,"alt_net":0.23569136748261532,"btc_net":0.08200561337153056,"excess_net":0.15368575411108476,"reference_ratio":0.000267286090745523,"exit_ratio":0.0002882943008534563,"relative_gap_remaining":0.07859821679959689,"positive":true,"outperformed":true,"recovered":true,"positive_and_recovered":true,"touched_recovery":true,"first_recovery_close_day":1731715200},"14":{"entry_time":1731715200,"exit_time":1732924800,"alt_entry":22.98,"btc_entry":91032.08,"alt_exit":31.93,"btc_exit":97460.0,"alt_net":0.38392232071974397,"btc_net":0.06633769242395093,"excess_net":0.31758462829579304,"reference_ratio":0.000267286090745523,"exit_ratio":0.00032762158834393596,"relative_gap_remaining":0.2257337724912032,"positive":true,"outperformed":true,"recovered":true,"positive_and_recovered":true,"touched_recovery":true,"first_recovery_close_day":1731715200},"30":{"entry_time":1731715200,"exit_time":1734307200,"alt_entry":22.98,"btc_entry":91032.08,"alt_exit":33.79,"btc_exit":104463.99,"alt_net":0.46453915493642817,"btc_net":0.1429703471988375,"excess_net":0.32156880773759067,"reference_ratio":0.000267286090745523,"exit_ratio":0.0003234607447025525,"relative_gap_remaining":0.21016676850016913,"positive":true,"outperformed":true,"recovered":true,"positive_and_recovered":true,"touched_recovery":true,"first_recovery_close_day":1731715200}}}},"points":[{"time":1731024000,"utc":"2024-11-08T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":20.45,"btc_price":76509.78,"alt_index":100.0,"btc_index":100.0,"ratio_index":100.0,"volume_ratio":1.7665064440319984},{"time":1731110400,"utc":"2024-11-09T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":21.76,"btc_price":76677.46,"alt_index":106.40586797066017,"btc_index":100.21916152418686,"ratio_index":106.17317721719333,"volume_ratio":2.8123781724444794},{"time":1731196800,"utc":"2024-11-10T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":23.02,"btc_price":80370.01,"alt_index":112.56723716381418,"btc_index":105.04540726688796,"ratio_index":107.16055093947665,"volume_ratio":7.957474272241563},{"time":1731283200,"utc":"2024-11-11T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":24.37,"btc_price":88647.99,"alt_index":119.16870415647922,"btc_index":115.86491295622601,"ratio_index":102.8514164607377,"volume_ratio":5.106749629822588},{"time":1731369600,"utc":"2024-11-12T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":22.75,"btc_price":87952.01,"alt_index":111.24694376528117,"btc_index":114.95525147242614,"ratio_index":96.77412935934079,"volume_ratio":9.837763390544877},{"time":1731456000,"utc":"2024-11-13T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":22.09,"btc_price":90375.2,"alt_index":108.01955990220048,"btc_index":118.12241519973001,"ratio_index":91.44713111355969,"volume_ratio":5.545865835098337},{"time":1731542400,"utc":"2024-11-14T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":21.8,"btc_price":87325.59,"alt_index":106.60146699266504,"btc_index":114.13650647015324,"ratio_index":93.39822138374402,"volume_ratio":3.746670349716563},{"time":1731628800,"utc":"2024-11-15T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":22.99,"btc_price":91032.07,"alt_index":112.4205378973105,"btc_index":118.98095903556383,"ratio_index":94.48615880101254,"volume_ratio":4.197345984484043},{"time":1731715200,"utc":"2024-11-16T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":26.73,"btc_price":90586.92,"alt_index":130.70904645476773,"btc_index":118.39913799255469,"ratio_index":110.39695784186128,"volume_ratio":13.314680230154577},{"time":1731801600,"utc":"2024-11-17T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":25.84,"btc_price":89855.99,"alt_index":126.35696821515894,"btc_index":117.4437960741751,"ratio_index":107.58930862159329,"volume_ratio":9.503661214945366},{"time":1731888000,"utc":"2024-11-18T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":27.04,"btc_price":90464.08,"alt_index":132.2249388753056,"btc_index":118.23858335496456,"ratio_index":111.82892683884123,"volume_ratio":3.0615220977227438},{"time":1731974400,"utc":"2024-11-19T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":26.16,"btc_price":92310.79,"alt_index":127.92176039119805,"btc_index":120.65227478108027,"ratio_index":106.02515420725223,"volume_ratio":1.3673811920528964},{"time":1732060800,"utc":"2024-11-20T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":25.37,"btc_price":94286.56,"alt_index":124.05867970660147,"btc_index":123.23465052441662,"ratio_index":100.6686667902885,"volume_ratio":1.5355739878050005},{"time":1732147200,"utc":"2024-11-21T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":27.34,"btc_price":98317.12,"alt_index":133.69193154034232,"btc_index":128.5026829249803,"ratio_index":104.03824145709973,"volume_ratio":2.7747462546056663},{"time":1732233600,"utc":"2024-11-22T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":28.52,"btc_price":98892.0,"alt_index":139.46210268948656,"btc_index":129.25406399025064,"ratio_index":107.89765395694315,"volume_ratio":1.5301633264460341},{"time":1732320000,"utc":"2024-11-23T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":29.64,"btc_price":97672.4,"alt_index":144.93887530562347,"btc_index":127.6600194118974,"ratio_index":113.53505660842454,"volume_ratio":2.715791552155399},{"time":1732406400,"utc":"2024-11-24T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":28.84,"btc_price":97900.04,"alt_index":141.0268948655257,"btc_index":127.9575500021043,"ratio_index":110.21381298970357,"volume_ratio":1.893553807978052},{"time":1732492800,"utc":"2024-11-25T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":29.77,"btc_price":93010.01,"alt_index":145.57457212713936,"btc_index":121.56617101761368,"ratio_index":119.749245130084,"volume_ratio":2.573454911713449},{"time":1732579200,"utc":"2024-11-26T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":28.33,"btc_price":91965.16,"alt_index":138.53300733496332,"btc_index":120.20052861215913,"ratio_index":115.25157911905366,"volume_ratio":1.176398556311332},{"time":1732665600,"utc":"2024-11-27T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":32.9,"btc_price":95863.11,"alt_index":160.880195599022,"btc_index":125.29523676580956,"ratio_index":128.4008871779576,"volume_ratio":2.02181218885969},{"time":1732752000,"utc":"2024-11-28T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":31.91,"btc_price":95643.98,"alt_index":156.039119804401,"btc_index":125.00882893664051,"ratio_index":124.8224794454221,"volume_ratio":1.6353232605556975},{"time":1732838400,"utc":"2024-11-29T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":31.94,"btc_price":97460.0,"alt_index":156.18581907090464,"btc_index":127.38240784380767,"ratio_index":122.6117654035986,"volume_ratio":0.6675727646888908},{"time":1732924800,"utc":"2024-11-30T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":32.7,"btc_price":96407.99,"alt_index":159.90220048899758,"btc_index":126.0074071576209,"ratio_index":126.8990483146583,"volume_ratio":1.3028015833409379},{"time":1733011200,"utc":"2024-12-01T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":33.32,"btc_price":97185.18,"alt_index":162.93398533007334,"btc_index":127.02321193447426,"ratio_index":128.27103239534196,"volume_ratio":0.7332332315568391},{"time":1733097600,"utc":"2024-12-02T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":33.87,"btc_price":95840.62,"alt_index":165.62347188264056,"btc_index":125.26584183093978,"ratio_index":132.21758578541142,"volume_ratio":2.2798338884145246},{"time":1733184000,"utc":"2024-12-03T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":34.72,"btc_price":95849.69,"alt_index":169.77995110024452,"btc_index":125.2776965245489,"ratio_index":135.52288700245626,"volume_ratio":2.563053074388826},{"time":1733270400,"utc":"2024-12-04T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":37.7,"btc_price":98587.32,"alt_index":184.35207823960883,"btc_index":128.85584039060106,"ratio_index":143.06846913634791,"volume_ratio":2.792876314529156},{"time":1733356800,"utc":"2024-12-05T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":35.61,"btc_price":96945.63,"alt_index":174.1320293398533,"btc_index":126.71011470690414,"ratio_index":137.42551629965908,"volume_ratio":1.7105445681068903},{"time":1733443200,"utc":"2024-12-06T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":38.27,"btc_price":99740.84,"alt_index":187.1393643031785,"btc_index":130.3635169255486,"ratio_index":143.55194514279245,"volume_ratio":1.9242207989342326},{"time":1733529600,"utc":"2024-12-07T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":37.2,"btc_price":99831.99,"alt_index":181.9070904645477,"btc_index":130.48265202174153,"ratio_index":139.4109390375033,"volume_ratio":0.6607578908452876},{"time":1733616000,"utc":"2024-12-08T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":37.08,"btc_price":101109.59,"alt_index":181.32029339853298,"btc_index":132.1525039021155,"ratio_index":137.2053408332208,"volume_ratio":0.5019679108178635},{"time":1733702400,"utc":"2024-12-09T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":31.35,"btc_price":97276.47,"alt_index":153.30073349633253,"btc_index":127.14253001380999,"ratio_index":120.57392084275911,"volume_ratio":1.5788520538226616},{"time":1733788800,"utc":"2024-12-10T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":30.19,"btc_price":96593.0,"alt_index":147.62836185819071,"btc_index":126.24921938084255,"ratio_index":116.93407894496042,"volume_ratio":1.2487866947670074},{"time":1733875200,"utc":"2024-12-11T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":33.49,"btc_price":101125.0,"alt_index":163.76528117359413,"btc_index":132.17264511804896,"ratio_index":123.90255262526408,"volume_ratio":1.086225780857512},{"time":1733961600,"utc":"2024-12-12T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":33.82,"btc_price":100004.29,"alt_index":165.37897310513446,"btc_index":130.70785198964106,"ratio_index":126.52566053816048,"volume_ratio":1.0717924596569037},{"time":1734048000,"utc":"2024-12-13T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":34.01,"btc_price":101424.25,"alt_index":166.30806845965768,"btc_index":132.5637715858025,"ratio_index":125.45514243460858,"volume_ratio":0.6054000256454813},{"time":1734134400,"utc":"2024-12-14T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":32.56,"btc_price":101420.0,"alt_index":159.21760391198046,"btc_index":132.5582167403958,"ratio_index":120.11145580194007,"volume_ratio":0.3260042425169844},{"time":1734220800,"utc":"2024-12-15T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"close","alt_price":33.79,"btc_price":104463.99,"alt_index":165.23227383863082,"btc_index":136.5367800038113,"ratio_index":121.0166768500169,"volume_ratio":0.38523657339646944},{"time":1734307200,"utc":"2024-12-16T00:00:00Z","price_kind":"open","alt_price":33.79,"btc_price":104463.99,"alt_index":165.23227383863082,"btc_index":136.5367800038113,"ratio_index":121.0166768500169,"volume_ratio":null}]}